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success-metrics

Synthesiscanonicalverified 2026-07-27

SYNTHESIS.SUCCESS-METRICS

Success metrics

Summary

Gate metrics per phase. If we miss a gate, we do not proceed to the next phase.

Built from

Body

Week 4 — end of Phase 2 (Validation)

  • Waitlist ≥ 500
  • ≥ 3 of 5 experiments pass
  • Both founders sign the personal-gate ADR ("we build this even if we don't have a kid")

Month 4 — end of MVP beta (Phase 3)

  • 1,000 installs
  • W2 retention: 40%
  • W8 retention: 25%
  • Free → paid on soft paywall: 3%

Month 9 — mid Phase 4

  • 10,000 MAU
  • Paid conversion: 5%
  • Blended CAC: ≤ ₹150
  • LTV: ≥ ₹1,800
  • Payback: ≤ 4 months

Month 12 — end Phase 4

  • 50,000 MAU
  • Paid conversion: 7% (Flo benchmark)
  • ARR run-rate: ₹1–1.5 Cr
  • At least one signed B2B pilot
  • Fundable seed round

Kill criteria (any phase)

  • Phase 2: < 3 of 5 experiments pass → shut down or pivot
  • Phase 3: W8 retention < 20% after two paywall iterations → shut down
  • Any phase: personal-gate fails → reduce scope to personal tool; open-source; stop as a business

Last refresh

2026-07-27

Sources

  • (synthesis)
  • Flo benchmarks: market

Every project of mine is written down like this.

Read the résumé