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success-metrics
Synthesiscanonicalverified 2026-07-27
SYNTHESIS.SUCCESS-METRICSSuccess metrics
Summary
Gate metrics per phase. If we miss a gate, we do not proceed to the next phase.
Built from
Body
Week 4 — end of Phase 2 (Validation)
- Waitlist ≥ 500
- ≥ 3 of 5 experiments pass
- Both founders sign the personal-gate ADR ("we build this even if we don't have a kid")
Month 4 — end of MVP beta (Phase 3)
- 1,000 installs
- W2 retention: 40%
- W8 retention: 25%
- Free → paid on soft paywall: 3%
Month 9 — mid Phase 4
- 10,000 MAU
- Paid conversion: 5%
- Blended CAC: ≤ ₹150
- LTV: ≥ ₹1,800
- Payback: ≤ 4 months
Month 12 — end Phase 4
- 50,000 MAU
- Paid conversion: 7% (Flo benchmark)
- ARR run-rate: ₹1–1.5 Cr
- At least one signed B2B pilot
- Fundable seed round
Kill criteria (any phase)
- Phase 2: < 3 of 5 experiments pass → shut down or pivot
- Phase 3: W8 retention < 20% after two paywall iterations → shut down
- Any phase: personal-gate fails → reduce scope to personal tool; open-source; stop as a business
Last refresh
2026-07-27
Sources
- (synthesis)
- Flo benchmarks: market
Every project of mine is written down like this.
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